Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 8.434106 9.645913 10.983509 12.571644 14.408693 16.470245 18.963838
2025-08-10 6.667989 8.203242 10.034418 12.387488 15.342541 18.945688 23.694997
2025-08-17 5.618097 7.280611 9.376737 12.228809 16.031976 20.961619 27.888831
2025-08-24 4.861896 6.570695 8.824207 12.036896 16.537400 22.673696 31.769655
2025-08-31 4.268154 5.978507 8.322471 11.801094 16.886646 24.133173 35.390422
2025-09-07 4.007412 5.801934 8.350365 12.276585 18.250487 27.123483 41.533424
2025-09-14 3.698440 5.514271 8.176063 12.416655 19.105130 29.419436 46.861093
2025-09-21 3.394021 5.196953 7.917086 12.385159 19.668574 31.295306 51.706169
2025-09-28 3.106932 4.874918 7.613862 12.241529 20.018942 32.839880 56.148880
2025-10-05 2.974949 4.782061 7.656124 12.650501 21.304511 36.038720 63.789569
2025-10-12 2.837427 4.665374 7.645057 12.961795 22.444096 39.090809 71.517938
2025-10-19 2.737923 4.601149 7.711532 13.405840 23.851042 42.745844 80.790820
2025-10-26 2.512852 4.306761 7.366451 13.099679 23.888226 43.944447 85.570745
2025-11-02 2.331013 4.072238 7.104872 12.917981 24.134154 45.553253 91.359861
2025-11-09 2.170228 3.861215 6.865889 12.752335 24.387006 47.189447 97.391774
2025-11-16 2.020221 3.657178 6.621736 12.551610 24.545431 48.644586 103.207970
2025-11-23 1.878253 3.456532 6.366955 12.304983 24.582681 49.848052 108.613096
2025-11-30 1.842759 3.453320 6.483230 12.802320 26.191868 54.488878 122.321130
2025-12-07 1.766886 3.366125 6.429893 12.948836 27.074707 57.666186 133.065218
2025-12-14 1.676476 3.243348 6.296498 12.915890 27.564455 60.026799 142.168424
2025-12-21 1.580588 3.102434 6.115719 12.765651 27.778406 61.784338 150.018373
2025-12-28 1.550484 3.092338 6.199726 13.193457 29.336171 66.804371 166.787917
2026-01-04 1.511479 3.060772 6.236309 13.519119 30.690350 71.492396 183.364045